Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000540 0.000615 0.000694 0.000784 0.000883 0.000988 0.001109
2026-02-08 0.000408 0.000508 0.000621 0.000758 0.000919 0.001100 0.001320
2026-02-15 0.000335 0.000443 0.000573 0.000737 0.000938 0.001172 0.001465
2026-02-22 0.000287 0.000402 0.000545 0.000733 0.000970 0.001257 0.001624
2026-03-01 0.000252 0.000371 0.000525 0.000733 0.001004 0.001339 0.001780
2026-03-08 0.000220 0.000340 0.000500 0.000724 0.001023 0.001402 0.001912
2026-03-15 0.000192 0.000312 0.000476 0.000713 0.001036 0.001456 0.002030
2026-03-22 0.000179 0.000302 0.000476 0.000733 0.001091 0.001564 0.002222
2026-03-29 0.000165 0.000289 0.000471 0.000744 0.001134 0.001656 0.002394
2026-04-05 0.000147 0.000269 0.000453 0.000736 0.001148 0.001710 0.002515
2026-04-12 0.000132 0.000251 0.000435 0.000726 0.001158 0.001757 0.002627
2026-04-19 0.000122 0.000240 0.000429 0.000733 0.001193 0.001838 0.002788
2026-04-26 0.000111 0.000229 0.000420 0.000735 0.001220 0.001911 0.002940
2026-05-03 0.000097 0.000208 0.000395 0.000711 0.001207 0.001925 0.003008
2026-05-10 0.000085 0.000190 0.000374 0.000691 0.001199 0.001945 0.003086
2026-05-17 0.000077 0.000180 0.000363 0.000688 0.001214 0.002000 0.003214
2026-05-24 0.000070 0.000171 0.000355 0.000687 0.001235 0.002062 0.003354
2026-05-31 0.000063 0.000160 0.000343 0.000679 0.001243 0.002104 0.003464
2026-06-07 0.000056 0.000149 0.000330 0.000668 0.001245 0.002138 0.003563
2026-06-14 0.000054 0.000148 0.000334 0.000687 0.001297 0.002249 0.003779
2026-06-21 0.000051 0.000144 0.000333 0.000698 0.001335 0.002340 0.003967
2026-06-28 0.000046 0.000136 0.000322 0.000690 0.001342 0.002381 0.004079
2026-07-05 0.000041 0.000128 0.000311 0.000681 0.001345 0.002416 0.004183